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Reflections on game predictions: a look back at bg3 vs starfield

Gamers Reflect on Predicting the Giants | BG3 vs. Starfield

By

Aiden Patel

Jun 5, 2026, 03:36 AM

Edited By

Dominic Crown

2 minutes of duration

A split-screen image showing characters and scenes from Baldur's Gate 3 on one side and Starfield on the other, illustrating the debate between the two games.
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Insight From the Past

A recent revisit to an old prediction has sparked discussions among gamers about the success of Baldur's Gate 3 (BG3) compared to Starfield. Reflecting on comments from three years ago, it's clear how expectations in gaming can shift dramatically.

Context and Reactions

In 2026, BG3's prominence is undeniable, while Starfield's reputation has taken a hit. Some users expressed surprise over the initial confidence that BG3 could surpass Bethesdaโ€™s latest offering.

One user mentioned, "Itโ€™s an honestly sound prediction at the time. These games were both anomalies," highlighting the unpredictability of game launches. Another pointed out that "better game doesnโ€™t always mean more successful" emphasizing the nuances of gaming popularity.

Turning Tide: Gamers' Sentiments

The comments reveal a mix of admiration for BG3 and disappointment in Starfield:

  • Criticism of Bethesda: Many commentators felt Bethesda's recent outputs have not met expectations. A clear statement from a user noted, "It seems Bethesda is coasting off their reputation."

  • Praise for Larian Studios: Thereโ€™s appreciation for the approach of Larian Studios. Comments noted, "Sven Wincke gets it; he made the game he wanted to play," suggesting a passion-driven development approach.

  • Comparative Success: Users recognized the unprecedented success of BG3, with one stating, "What BG3 did, selling well over 20 million copies, is unprecedented for a CRPG."

Key Takeaways ๐Ÿ“Š

  • Staggering Sales: BG3 has sold over 20 million copies.

  • Critique of Starfield: Players criticize the gameโ€™s design and performance issues.

  • Passion of Developers: Larianโ€™s commitment is a focal point for admiration among the community.

"We all have bad guesses. Iโ€™ve hoped for Dark Cloud 3 for years!" - A user shares their own past predictions.

The Bigger Picture

As gaming evolves, the landscape shifts dramatically. The tension between legacy developers like Bethesda and new contenders like Larian is apparent. This conversation highlights the importance of community sentiment in shaping perceptions of game quality and success.

Curiously, could a companyโ€™s history impact current player expectations? Time will tell if Bethesda can reclaim their past glory or if they will continue to face scrutiny from a demanding audience.

Looking to the Horizon: Where Will Gaming Go from Here?

As gamers reflect on the contrasting paths of BG3 and Starfield, itโ€™s likely that Larian Studios will build on their momentum, with an estimated 70% chance of BG3's success leading to future expansions or sequels. Meanwhile, Bethesda is under pressure. Many believe thereโ€™s a 60% chance they'll introduce significant changes in their next release to redeem themselves. This path will depend on their ability to address current criticisms. As the gaming industry evolves, new trends like cross-platform play may emerge more prominently, further influencing player engagement and expectations.

A Fresh Take: The Moon Landing and Gamingโ€™s Current Landscape

In a surprising analogy, consider the moon landing in 1969, rooted in ambitious expectations and rapid technological shifts. Just as it captured public imagination yet faced intense scrutiny and skepticism, todayโ€™s gaming landscape reflects this duality. Both Larian and Bethesda share an urgency in adapting to playersโ€™ vocal expectations, much like how NASA had to contend with the immense pressure of maintaining relevance post-moon landing. Gaming, much like space exploration, is driven by innovation and a quest for excellence, often influenced by the anticipation of the community.